2011 Pat (through 11 weeks)

4-7 (0.364), 944.11 points (85.83 average)

11th place

3.80 expected wins (0.345)

36-85 all-play record (0.298)

+9.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 119.42 103.06 Rabbit 16.36
2 L 104.84 138.17 Derrek -33.33
3 W 93.59 72.00 Allen 21.59
4 L 102.38 165.61 Rob -63.23
5 L 49.67 106.75 Babel -57.08 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 70.39 134.36 Dave -63.97
7 L 48.73 93.93 Ed -45.20 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 90.89 72.51 Matt 18.38
9 L 102.28 107.15 Pulley -4.87
10 L 52.13 112.20 Mike R. -60.07 Slapped Heartbeat
11 W 109.79 83.90 Kevin 25.89
12 Mike R.
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%43.64102564102564141.2307692307692300.0%102.61538461538461141.2307692307692310.0%161.5897435897436141.2307692307692320.0%220.5641025641026141.23076923076923330.2%279.5384615384615572.040.0%338.51282051282055141.2307692307692350.0%397.4871794871795141.2307692307692360.0%456.4615384615385141.2307692307692370.0%515.4358974358973141.2307692307692380.0%574.4102564102564141.2307692307692390.0%633.3846153846154141.23076923076923100.0%692.3589743589743141.23076923076923110.2%43.64102564102564140.666079322055202.7%102.61538461538461135.03372752945543111.4%161.5897435897436115.02646311716927224.8%220.564102564102684.4450258680105730.0%279.538461538461552.7692307692307736421.1%338.5128205128205593.0133998093502658.0%397.4871794871795122.945054451926961.4%456.4615384615385137.9761532989680370.1%515.4358974358973141.0625610789807680.0%574.4102564102564141.2307692307692390.0%633.3846153846154141.23076923076923100.0%692.3589743589743141.2307692307692311Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th70.4769230769230985.5664335664335725th129.2076923076923112.1398601398601637th187.93846153846152165.2867132867133411th246.66923076923075271.5804195804196511th305.4271.5804195804196611th364.1307692307692271.5804195804196711th422.86153846153843271.5804195804196812th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613912th540.3230769230769298.153846153846131011th599.053846153846271.5804195804196113rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th70.4769230769230985.5664335664335723rd129.207692307692358.99300699300701536th187.93846153846152138.71328671328675410th246.66923076923075245.006993006993511th305.4271.5804195804196612th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613712th422.86153846153843298.15384615384613812th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613912th540.3230769230769298.153846153846131011th599.053846153846271.5804195804196113rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th70.4769230769230985.5664335664335725th129.2076923076923112.1398601398601637th187.93846153846152165.2867132867133411th246.66923076923075271.5804195804196511th305.4271.5804195804196612th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613712th422.86153846153843298.15384615384613812th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613912th540.3230769230769298.153846153846131012th599.053846153846298.1538461538461311Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Andre Johnson WR
2.10 22 Peyton Manning QB
3.03 27 Beanie Wells RB
4.10 46 Ray Rice K RB
5.03 51 Chad Ochocinco WR
6.10 70 Greg Olsen TE
7.03 75 C.J. Spiller RB
8.10 94 Lee Evans WR
9.03 99 Austin Collie K WR
10.10 118 Baltimore DEF
11.03 123 Donald Brown RB
12.10 142 Jerricho Cotchery WR
13.03 147 Dustin Keller TE
14.10 166 Chad Henne QB
15.03 171 Nick Folk K
16.10 190 Jordan Shipley WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.81340.1790209790209983.1744282775870510.00095.98321678321679138.253167925015720.359151.78741258741258113.9289435835501430.000207.5916083916084138.253167925015740.000263.3958041958042138.253167925015750.000319.2138.253167925015760.000375.0041958041958138.253167925015770.319430.80839160839156116.6589123465553880.000486.6125874125874138.253167925015790.000542.4167832167833138.2531679250157100.668598.220979020978993.0289596545263110.00040.1790209790209928.0956886301584210.57095.9832167832167999.655952357023120.000151.7874125874125889.6047192420845630.524207.5916083916084102.789142351845164-0.019263.3958041958042139.5272704373451850.076319.2133.085942831389846-0.022375.0041958041958139.7419685778924670.000430.8083916083915695.0646567680950580.520486.6125874125874103.039269170942189-0.008542.4167832167833138.8285081531305100.000598.220979020978947.80475138403690511Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567891011941.3118881118881184.587412587412591098.68951048951048141.2307692307692323156.06713286713284122.3496503496503530213.44475524475524141.2307692307692340270.82237762237764141.2307692307692350328.2141.2307692307692360385.57762237762233141.2307692307692374442.95524475524473116.0559440559440580500.33286713286714141.2307692307692390557.7104895104894141.23076923076923108615.088111888111890.8811188811188811041.3118881118881127.9440559440559471398.68951048951048122.3496503496503520156.06713286713284103.4685314685314734213.44475524475524116.0559440559440540270.82237762237764141.2307692307692351328.2134.9370629370629360385.57762237762233141.2307692307692370442.9552447552447390.881118881118984500.33286713286714116.0559440559440590557.7104895104894141.23076923076923100615.088111888111840.5314685314685311All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Pat 4-7 11th 85.83 0.345 24.78 5-8 11th
1 981 2013 Richie 5-6 9th 85.15 0.350 21.74 6-7 10th
2 978 2025 Pat 4-7 11th 85.24 0.338 26.93 4-10 13th
3 972 2022 Pulley 6-5 8th 87.53 0.345 14.48 7-7 8th
4 968 2025 Richie 6-5 7th 84.08 0.335 26.48 8-6 6th
5 966 2020 Pat 4-7 12th 89.29 0.343 17.48 5-8 12th
6 965 2010 Pat 3-8 12th 83.33 0.355 22.03 3-10 12th
7 959 2015 Pat 4-7 11th 81.36 0.339 19.39 6-7 9th
8 955 2016 Richie 5-6 10th 89.65 0.352 16.87 5-8 12th
9 951 2011 Pulley 4-7 10th 88.86 0.335 16.70 5-8 10th
10 949 2022 Babel 3-8 14th 87.69 0.359 16.45 3-11 14th