2011 Pat (through 11 weeks)

4-7 (0.364), 944.11 points (85.83 average)

11th place

3.80 expected wins (0.345)

36-85 all-play record (0.298)

+9.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 119.42 103.06 Rabbit 16.36
2 L 104.84 138.17 Derrek -33.33
3 W 93.59 72.00 Allen 21.59
4 L 102.38 165.61 Rob -63.23
5 L 49.67 106.75 Babel -57.08 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 70.39 134.36 Dave -63.97
7 L 48.73 93.93 Ed -45.20 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 90.89 72.51 Matt 18.38
9 L 102.28 107.15 Pulley -4.87
10 L 52.13 112.20 Mike R. -60.07 Slapped Heartbeat
11 W 109.79 83.90 Kevin 25.89
12 Mike R.
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%43.64102564102564141.2307692307692300.0%102.61538461538461141.2307692307692310.0%161.5897435897436141.2307692307692320.0%220.5641025641026141.23076923076923330.2%279.5384615384615572.040.0%338.51282051282055141.2307692307692350.0%397.4871794871795141.2307692307692360.0%456.4615384615385141.2307692307692370.0%515.4358974358973141.2307692307692380.0%574.4102564102564141.2307692307692390.0%633.3846153846154141.23076923076923100.0%692.3589743589743141.23076923076923110.2%43.64102564102564140.666079322055202.7%102.61538461538461135.03372752945543111.4%161.5897435897436115.02646311716927224.8%220.564102564102684.4450258680105730.0%279.538461538461552.7692307692307736421.1%338.5128205128205593.0133998093502658.0%397.4871794871795122.945054451926961.4%456.4615384615385137.9761532989680370.1%515.4358974358973141.0625610789807680.0%574.4102564102564141.2307692307692390.0%633.3846153846154141.23076923076923100.0%692.3589743589743141.2307692307692311Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th70.4769230769230985.5664335664335725th129.2076923076923112.1398601398601637th187.93846153846152165.2867132867133411th246.66923076923075271.5804195804196511th305.4271.5804195804196611th364.1307692307692271.5804195804196711th422.86153846153843271.5804195804196812th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613912th540.3230769230769298.153846153846131011th599.053846153846271.5804195804196113rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th70.4769230769230985.5664335664335723rd129.207692307692358.99300699300701536th187.93846153846152138.71328671328675410th246.66923076923075245.006993006993511th305.4271.5804195804196612th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613712th422.86153846153843298.15384615384613812th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613912th540.3230769230769298.153846153846131011th599.053846153846271.5804195804196113rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th70.4769230769230985.5664335664335725th129.2076923076923112.1398601398601637th187.93846153846152165.2867132867133411th246.66923076923075271.5804195804196511th305.4271.5804195804196612th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613712th422.86153846153843298.15384615384613812th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613912th540.3230769230769298.153846153846131012th599.053846153846298.1538461538461311Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Andre Johnson WR
2.10 22 Peyton Manning QB
3.03 27 Beanie Wells RB
4.10 46 Ray Rice Kx2 RB
5.03 51 Chad Ochocinco WR
6.10 70 Greg Olsen TE
7.03 75 C.J. Spiller RB
8.10 94 Lee Evans WR
9.03 99 Austin Collie K WR
10.10 118 Baltimore DEF
11.03 123 Donald Brown RB
12.10 142 Jerricho Cotchery WR
13.03 147 Dustin Keller TE
14.10 166 Chad Henne QB
15.03 171 Nick Folk K
16.10 190 Jordan Shipley WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.81340.1790209790209983.1744282775870510.00095.98321678321679138.253167925015720.359151.78741258741258113.9289435835501430.000207.5916083916084138.253167925015740.000263.3958041958042138.253167925015750.000319.2138.253167925015760.000375.0041958041958138.253167925015770.319430.80839160839156116.6589123465553880.000486.6125874125874138.253167925015790.000542.4167832167833138.2531679250157100.668598.220979020978993.0289596545263110.00040.1790209790209928.0956886301584210.57095.9832167832167999.655952357023120.000151.7874125874125889.6047192420845630.524207.5916083916084102.789142351845164-0.019263.3958041958042139.5272704373451850.076319.2133.085942831389846-0.022375.0041958041958139.7419685778924670.000430.8083916083915695.0646567680950580.520486.6125874125874103.039269170942189-0.008542.4167832167833138.8285081531305100.000598.220979020978947.80475138403690511Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567891011941.3118881118881184.587412587412591098.68951048951048141.2307692307692323156.06713286713284122.3496503496503530213.44475524475524141.2307692307692340270.82237762237764141.2307692307692350328.2141.2307692307692360385.57762237762233141.2307692307692374442.95524475524473116.0559440559440580500.33286713286714141.2307692307692390557.7104895104894141.23076923076923108615.088111888111890.8811188811188811041.3118881118881127.9440559440559471398.68951048951048122.3496503496503520156.06713286713284103.4685314685314734213.44475524475524116.0559440559440540270.82237762237764141.2307692307692351328.2134.9370629370629360385.57762237762233141.2307692307692370442.9552447552447390.881118881118984500.33286713286714116.0559440559440590557.7104895104894141.23076923076923100615.088111888111840.5314685314685311All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Pat 4-7 11th 85.83 0.345 24.78 5-8 11th
1 981 2013 Richie 5-6 9th 85.15 0.350 21.74 6-7 10th
2 978 2025 Pat 4-7 11th 85.24 0.338 26.93 4-10 13th
3 972 2022 Pulley 6-5 8th 87.53 0.345 14.48 7-7 8th
4 968 2025 Richie 6-5 7th 84.08 0.335 26.48 8-6 6th 4th place
5 966 2020 Pat 4-7 12th 89.29 0.343 17.48 5-8 12th
6 965 2010 Pat 3-8 12th 83.33 0.355 22.03 3-10 12th
7 959 2015 Pat 4-7 11th 81.36 0.339 19.39 6-7 9th
8 955 2016 Richie 5-6 10th 89.65 0.352 16.87 5-8 12th
9 951 2011 Pulley 4-7 10th 88.86 0.335 16.70 5-8 10th
10 949 2022 Babel 3-8 14th 87.69 0.359 16.45 3-11 14th