2014 Rabbit (through 6 weeks)

5-1 (0.833), 629.94 points (104.99 average)

2nd place

3.50 expected wins (0.584)

50-28 all-play record (0.641)

-18.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.25 78.08 Matt 25.17
2 L 74.84 98.36 Kevin -23.52
3 W 112.89 46.68 Derrek 66.21
4 W 128.90 111.07 Dave 17.83
5 W 93.01 87.86 Richie 5.15
6 W 117.05 114.12 Ed 2.93
7 Babel
8 Schertz
9 Pulley
10 Allen
11 Mike R.
12 Rob
13 Pat

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234560.0%64.7032967032967141.2307692307692300.0%165.80219780219778141.2307692307692310.0%266.90109890109886141.2307692307692320.0%368.0141.2307692307692330.0%469.09890109890114141.23076923076923414.6%570.1978021978022112.1992045873096250.0%671.2967032967032141.2307692307692360.2%64.7032967032967140.9205072313811202.5%165.80219780219778136.33990648591973113.5%266.90109890109886114.30927820692534232.7%368.076.22885593139243334.8%469.0989010989011472.040.0%570.197802197802283.1676399438551.7%671.2967032967032137.934647462249936Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124118th129.2076923076923163.2426035502958527th246.66923076923075140.7573964497041536th364.1307692307692118.2721893491124146th481.59230769230766118.2721893491124155th599.05384615384695.786982248520765th11.74615384615384595.786982248520719th129.2076923076923185.727810650887626th246.66923076923075118.2721893491124133rd364.130769230769250.81656804733728442nd481.5923076923076628.33136094674557652nd599.05384615384628.33136094674557666th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124119th129.2076923076923185.727810650887627th246.66923076923075140.7573964497041536th364.1307692307692118.2721893491124146th481.59230769230766118.2721893491124155th599.05384615384695.78698224852076Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Marshawn Lynch RB
2.12 26 Ryan Mathews RB
3.03 31 Rob Gronkowski K TE
4.12 54 T.Y. Hilton WR
5.03 59 Trent Richardson RB
6.12 82 Tony Romo QB
7.03 87 Riley Cooper WR
8.12 110 Randall Cobb K WR
9.03 115 Greg Jennings WR
10.12 138 Denver DEF
11.03 143 Ben Roethlisberger QB
12.12 166 Kenbrell Thompkins WR
13.03 171 Heath Miller TE
14.12 194 Adam Vinatieri K
15.03 199 Jordan Todman RB
16.12 222 Odell Beckham, Jr. WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.56463.430769230769236102.1684750401032610.000165.73846153846154141.2307692307692320.734268.0461538461538690.3855011495305130.877370.353846153846180.4903027461609240.386472.66153846153844114.5071397514915650.789574.969230769230886.5921403787152460.00063.43076923076923663.1061808494372810.150165.73846153846154130.8613156977357620.000268.0461538461538639.5402330682917830.000370.353846153846119.7498362615526340.000472.6615384615384487.7835102722138950.000574.969230769230831.953511526661266Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456865.2192307692307698.6272189349112410170.41153846153844141.23076923076923210275.603846153846187.97633136094674312380.7961538461538677.3254437869822546485.9884615384615109.27810650887574511591.180769230769282.65088757396456065.2192307692307656.0236686390532413170.41153846153844125.2544378698224820275.603846153846134.7218934911242530380.7961538461538613.4201183431952740485.988461538461577.3254437869822550591.180769230769224.0710059171597526All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Rabbit 5-1 2nd 104.99 0.584 17.49 10-3 1st 2nd place
1 987 2011 Allen 4-2 1st 107.50 0.582 16.87 7-6 5th 5th place
2 973 2009 Derrek 3-3 6th 102.40 0.579 13.10 7-6 5th 3rd place
3 968 2019 Derrek 3-3 5th 106.75 0.579 9.67 7-6 6th 3rd place
4 967 2024 Scott 3-3 8th 101.69 0.580 23.99 5-9 12th
5 963 2025 Pulley 3-3 6th 106.82 0.594 13.52
6 960 2022 Dave 2-4 11th 102.25 0.572 20.57 8-6 3rd 3rd place
7 959 2018 Ed 2-4 9th 113.08 0.586 18.72 6-7 9th
8 958 2019 Rabbit 4-2 2nd 110.87 0.584 26.15 6-7 7th
9 956 2021 Mike R. 1-5 11th 109.51 0.573 14.77 4-10 11th
10 954 2021 Kevin 4-2 5th 112.95 0.586 22.44 5-9 9th