2011 Allen (through 10 weeks)

6-4 (0.600), 1,057.69 points (105.77 average)

3rd place

5.88 expected wins (0.588)

69-41 all-play record (0.627)

-9.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 120.32 62.28 Derrek 58.04
2 W 114.87 70.57 Matt 44.30
3 L 72.00 93.59 Pat -21.59 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 122.44 76.34 Pulley 46.10
5 W 106.18 84.89 Rob 21.29
6 L 109.16 113.43 Mike R. -4.27
7 W 115.16 109.47 Babel 5.69
8 L 92.68 137.99 Kevin -45.31
9 W 118.08 105.61 Dave 12.47
10 L 86.80 122.55 Rabbit -35.75
11 Ed
12 Babel
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.2307692307692330.0%221.14685314685315141.2307692307692340.0%268.0141.23076923076923529.4%314.853146853146871.9999999999999960.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.2249058773974200.1%80.5874125874126141.09187686853810.6%127.44055944055944139.836961246425923.3%174.29370629370626133.49886527111266311.0%221.14685314685315115.29396147379693423.0%268.087.1738750020773150.0%314.85314685314682.769230769230745622.1%361.706293706293789.2193348744648378.9%408.5594405594406120.2967921183435281.6%455.41258741258747137.3556710107599290.1%502.2657342657343141.0095645597701810Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804312nd77.002564102564132.4195804195804327th142.2589743589743165.286713286713334th207.515384615384685.5664335664335744th272.7717948717948485.5664335664335753rd338.028205128205158.99300699300701562nd403.2846153846153432.4195804195804372nd468.541025641025632.4195804195804382nd533.797435897435932.4195804195804392nd599.05384615384632.41958041958043102nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804312nd77.002564102564132.4195804195804326th142.2589743589743138.7132867132867533rd207.515384615384658.99300699300701541st272.771794871794845.84615384615386851st338.02820512820515.84615384615386861st403.284615384615345.84615384615386871st468.54102564102565.84615384615386881st533.79743589743595.84615384615386893rd599.05384615384658.993006993007015102nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804313rd77.002564102564158.99300699300701528th142.2589743589743191.860139860139935th207.5153846153846112.1398601398601646th272.77179487179484138.7132867132867554th338.028205128205185.5664335664335763rd403.2846153846153458.99300699300701573rd468.541025641025658.99300699300701582nd533.797435897435932.4195804195804393rd599.05384615384658.99300699300701510Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Drew Brees QB
2.04 16 Steven Jackson RB
3.09 33 Brandon Lloyd WR
4.04 40 Jason Witten TE
5.09 57 Jonathan Stewart RB
6.04 64 Pierre Thomas RB
7.09 81 Steve Smith, Sr. WR
8.04 88 Santonio Holmes K WR
9.09 105 Willis McGahee RB
10.04 112 New York DEF
11.09 129 Robert Meachem WR
12.04 136 Matt Cassel QB
13.09 153 Chris Cooley TE
14.04 160 Marshawn Lynch K RB
15.09 177 Robbie Gould K
16.04 184 Montario Hardesty RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.81829.50769230769230684.6075335283779310.74471.6615384615384789.7087079833587420.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.843155.9692307692307382.8896286368221240.592198.12307692307692100.2573948973967850.000240.27692307692305141.2307692307692360.750282.430769230769289.3219051050016870.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692380.786366.7384615384615486.7822889877915990.000408.89230769230767141.23076923076923100.00029.50769230769230627.9842978259866310.00071.6615384615384738.18664673594824420.089113.8153846153846135.0814977617668530.000155.9692307692307324.54848804287503640.000198.1230769230769259.2840205640243250.645240.2769230769230596.5859733969177560.000282.430769230769237.41304097923412570.343324.58461538461535117.462553630602480.000366.7384615384615432.3338087448139590.267408.89230769230767122.7617245677038210Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789101030.71923076923076278.29370629370631674.60384615384615103.4685314685314720118.48846153846154141.23076923076923310162.373076923076978.293706293706347206.257692307692397.1748251748251750250.14230769230767141.2307692307692369294.02692307692384.5874125874125970337.9115384615384141.23076923076923810381.7961538461538678.293706293706390425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310030.71923076923076215.356643356643361074.6038461538461565.7062937062937220118.48846153846154141.2307692307692330162.373076923076915.3566433566433640206.257692307692353.1188811188811258250.1423076923076790.8811188811188860294.02692307692327.94405594405594775337.9115384615384109.7622377622377680381.7961538461538615.3566433566433694425.6807692307692116.0559440559440510All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Allen 6-4 3rd 105.77 0.588 15.80 7-6 5th 5th place
1 989 2022 Ed 5-5 5th 105.40 0.589 18.92 7-7 7th
2 986 2024 Rob 8-2 1st 103.13 0.587 17.00 12-2 1st 2nd place
3 984 2020 Ed 3-7 13th 106.59 0.592 18.04 4-9 13th
4 981 2009 Kevin 5-5 5th 103.06 0.586 13.30 6-7 6th 5th place
5 977 2023 Mike R. 5-5 7th 107.48 0.595 16.67 7-7 8th
6 975 2016 Rob 6-4 4th 106.53 0.594 20.41 8-5 4th 5th place
7 974 2014 Rob 7-3 3rd 104.01 0.579 15.64 8-5 3rd 5th place
8 974 2022 Dave 5-5 6th 104.22 0.596 17.06 8-6 3rd 3rd place
9 972 2016 Schertz 5-5 6th 107.36 0.593 20.99 7-6 5th 4th place
10 968 2016 Dave 5-5 7th 106.47 0.578 21.01 6-7 8th