2009 Allen (through 12 weeks)

6-6 (0.500), 1,199.83 points (99.99 average)

5th place

6.26 expected wins (0.521)

65-67 all-play record (0.492)

+1.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 101.19 82.27 Mike R. 18.92
2 L 96.95 113.43 Derrek -16.48
3 W 107.45 98.81 Babel 8.64
4 L 101.62 118.20 Rob -16.58
5 L 65.14 78.27 Ed -13.13 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 82.35 85.04 Pulley -2.69 Slapped Heartbeat
7 L 109.55 133.67 Matt -24.12
8 W 111.64 108.57 Rabbit 3.07
9 L 89.74 94.23 Kevin -4.49
10 W 128.82 110.58 Dave 18.24
11 W 115.22 105.32 Pat 9.90
12 W 90.16 66.63 Mike R. 23.53
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%41.37278106508876141.2307692307692300.0%95.81065088757397141.2307692307692310.0%150.24852071005915141.2307692307692320.0%204.68639053254438141.2307692307692330.0%259.1242603550296141.2307692307692340.0%313.56213017751486141.23076923076923525.7%368.072.060.0%422.4378698224852141.2307692307692370.0%476.87573964497045141.2307692307692380.0%531.3136094674556141.2307692307692390.0%585.7514792899409141.23076923076923100.0%640.189349112426141.23076923076923110.0%694.6272189349113141.23076923076923120.0%41.37278106508876141.2258919039004200.0%95.81065088757397141.1027163696283510.5%150.24852071005915139.9228298235713622.7%204.68639053254438134.0913722263128738.7%259.1242603550296117.66763586539426418.5%313.5621301775148691.4041534743948750.0%368.02.7692307692307736623.5%422.437869822485277.8188685609809714.0%476.87573964497045103.5822787589303685.2%531.3136094674556127.3412200320356491.1%585.7514792899409138.30742321011041100.1%640.189349112426140.9399952615932110.0%694.6272189349113141.2232108133150612Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867517th65.13776223776223165.286713286713322nd118.5293706293706232.4195804195804336th171.92097902097902138.7132867132867548th225.3125874125874191.860139860139959th278.7041958041958218.4335664335664569th332.09580419580413218.4335664335664576th385.4874125874125138.7132867132867587th438.87902097902094165.286713286713396th492.27062937062936138.71328671328675105th545.6622377622377112.13986013986016114th599.05384615384685.56643356643357126th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867517th65.13776223776223165.286713286713322nd118.5293706293706232.4195804195804338th171.92097902097902191.8601398601399410th225.3125874125874245.006993006993511th278.7041958041958271.5804195804196611th332.09580419580413271.580419580419679th385.4874125874125218.43356643356645810th438.87902097902094245.006993006993910th492.27062937062936245.006993006993107th545.6622377622377165.2867132867133115th599.053846153846112.13986013986016126th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867517th65.13776223776223165.286713286713322nd118.5293706293706232.4195804195804336th171.92097902097902138.7132867132867548th225.3125874125874191.860139860139959th278.7041958041958218.4335664335664569th332.09580419580413218.4335664335664577th385.4874125874125165.286713286713388th438.87902097902094191.860139860139997th492.27062937062936165.2867132867133106th545.6622377622377138.71328671328675116th599.053846153846138.7132867132867512Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Peyton Manning K QB
2.05 17 Terrell Owens WR
3.08 32 Roy Williams WR
4.05 41 Jonathan Stewart RB
5.08 56 Owen Daniels TE
6.05 65 Jerricho Cotchery WR
7.08 80 LenDale White RB
8.05 89 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
9.08 104 DeAngelo Williams K RB
10.05 113 Bobby Engram WR
11.08 128 New York DEF
12.05 137 Jason Campbell QB
13.08 152 Robbie Gould K
14.05 161 Nate Washington WR
15.08 176 Isaac Bruce WR
16.05 185 Bo Scaife TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.53337.853846153846156104.3411194996025410.00089.00769230769231141.2307692307692320.660140.1615384615384495.531094811893930.000191.3153846153846141.2307692307692340.000242.46923076923073141.2307692307692350.000293.62307692307695141.2307692307692360.000344.7769230769231141.2307692307692370.731395.930769230769290.6101888342163980.000447.0846153846154141.2307692307692390.915498.2384615384615477.86446136324989100.798549.392307692307785.99992682394445110.335600.5461538461539118.04910847470816120.00037.85384615384615667.4514697684358610.47189.00769230769231108.6055537122697420.000140.1615384615384449.8314203930185530.547191.3153846153846103.3651691782921840.037242.46923076923073138.6740130730483450.207293.62307692307695126.9224859034667460.699344.776923076923192.8500235420302670.000395.930769230769239.98960843766353480.325447.0846153846154118.7614118575931590.000498.2384615384615414.498153495730548100.000549.392307692307730.76908441711967110.000600.546153846153994.867447718647112Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789101112638.92115384615384103.468531468531471091.5173076923077141.2307692307692329144.113461538461584.5874125874125930196.7096153846154141.2307692307692340249.30576923076924141.2307692307692350301.901923076923141.2307692307692360354.4980769230769141.2307692307692379407.0942307692307684.5874125874125980459.6903846153845141.23076923076923910512.286538461538578.2937062937063108564.882692307692390.88111888111888111617.4788461538461134.9370629370629312038.9211538461538465.706293706293721591.5173076923077109.7622377622377620144.113461538461527.94405594405594736196.7096153846154103.4685314685314740249.30576923076924141.2307692307692350301.901923076923141.2307692307692368354.498076923076990.8811188811188870407.0942307692307627.94405594405594783459.6903846153845122.3496503496503590512.286538461538515.35664335664336100564.882692307692340.53146853146853110617.4788461538461128.6433566433566412All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Allen 6-6 5th 99.99 0.521 16.04 6-7 7th
1 992 2020 Babel 7-5 5th 101.67 0.522 16.08 8-5 3rd 3rd place
2 985 2025 Dave 7-5 5th 101.36 0.526 15.60 7-7 7th
3 983 2020 Pulley 7-5 4th 102.06 0.526 16.22 8-5 4th 4th place
4 981 2011 Mike R. 6-6 8th 103.36 0.520 18.02 6-7 9th
5 980 2014 Matt 6-6 6th 100.98 0.526 19.67 7-6 6th 4th place
6 979 2016 Ed 6-6 8th 99.54 0.514 17.79 6-7 9th
7 978 2009 Derrek 6-6 6th 99.39 0.512 16.40 7-6 5th 3rd place
8 978 2025 Schertz 6-6 8th 101.30 0.523 22.96 8-6 5th
9 977 2022 Matt 6-6 8th 100.68 0.517 21.63 6-8 11th
10 973 2024 Kevin 4-8 11th 103.29 0.525 18.87 5-9 11th